Major League Baseball’s owner-imposed lockout, in its 98th day, faces another decisive point Wednesday. Representatives from the MLB Players Association and the league are resuming negotiations after the two sides talked and swapped proposals until 3 a.m. ET Tuesday. MLB has reportedly set another self-imposed deadline this week: If a deal for a new collective bargaining agreement is reached Wednesday, players will report to spring training this weekend and play a full, 162-game season in 2022; if there’s no deal Wednesday, more regular season games will be canceled.
What’s become known as the “core economic issues,” a complicated sticking point in negotiations for almost the entirety of the labor stoppage, no longer seem to be the primary impediment to a new collective bargaining agreement. Rather, it’s the league’s desire to implement an international draft that seems to be the final major hurdle. However, the union at this juncture seems unlikely to agree to it because a sizable block of MLBPA membership is opposed to an international draft:
While the union in the past has used changes to the domestic draft as bargaining chits even though draftees aren’t yet members of the players association, the implementation of an international draft — which MLB reportedly says would not begin until 2024 — may be more complicated for reasons stated by Rosenthal above. Fernando Tatis Jr. of the Padres is one such MLBPA member who recently voiced his concerns, and he’s surely not alone in those concerns. Threading that needle will no doubt be complicated for union leadership and may not be possible.
MLB commissioner Rob Manfred already canceled the first two series of the 2022 season and postponed Opening Day last week after talks between the two sides fizzled March 1. Those games, however, could be made up and USA Today’s Bob Nightengale says Opening Day would be April 6 or 7 for teams if there’s a Wednesday deal. Owners moved on some key issues Tuesday (more on that here), and in their proposal they raised the threshold of baseball’s Competitive Balance Tax to $230 million in 2022. The MLBPA has proposed a CBT threshold starting at $238 million in 2022, with that number rising to $263 million by Year 5 of the CBA (MLB’s number would only rise to $242 million in Year 5). Evan Drellich of The Athletic reported that move from MLB came with “strings attached” and MLB would want an extra level of CBT penalties and, as noted, the ability to implement an international draft.
Will we get a deal Wednesday? CBS Sports will be providing live updates and analysis from the negotiations. You can follow along below.
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An investigation into Steve Cohen’s Twitter likes
Talk about a like-ly story.
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Minimum salary gap down to $10,000 in 2022
In their latest proposal, the MLBPA lowered their minimum salary offer to $710,000 in 2022, rising to $780,000 in 2026, according to MLBTR’s Tim Dierkes. That’s down from $725,000 in 2022. MLB is seeking a $700,000 minimum salary that climbs to $770,000 in 2026. The minimum was $570,500 last season.
It’s a good deal of money in the aggregate — each team employs several players making close to the minimum — though the gap between the two proposals is relatively small, small enough that we could have a consensus with the next proposal. Either way, it will be the largest minimum salary increase in terms of total dollars, but only a little better than status quo in terms of percent raise.
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And we should hear more soon
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CBT numbers getting a bit closer
It appears the owners’ desire to include an international draft could be the deciding factor on if a deal gets done soon. The CBT numbers are as close as they’ve ever been during talks.
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Steve Cohen lets the mask slip a bit?
You be the judge of the Mets’ owner’s recent “like”:
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The international draft isn’t the only sticking point
Those “core economic issues” still appear to be, well, issues:
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As expected:
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The next step
With the international draft apparently a sticking point (see below), the owners may be preparing to counter the players’ counter:
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Exciting live-action sports footage:
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We should know where we stand soon
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Some more details on potential international draft
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Let’s check in on Myles Straw
Here’s a recent tweet from Cleveland Guardians outfielder Myles Straw.
As we all know, two eyes emojis either means a new CBA has been agreed to or Myles has located a new favorite lunch spot. Hopefully we find out which before long.
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More details on 2022 season structure
It’s still hypothetical at this point, but …
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All quiet for now
Things are much quieter on the negotiating front than they were last week before the league canceled games. Both sides are at their respective offices in New York, just a few blocks away from each other. MLB appears to be fine tuning its international draft proposal, while the players discuss the international draft and other topics amongst themselves.
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More on international draft
MLB saying that an international draft would not start until 2024 comes shortly after David Ortiz spoke out about it to ESPN’s Jeff Passan. Ortiz, a Dominican baseball legend, says if an international draft happens, it needs to happen “slowly.”
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Some international draft clarity
If the MLB and MLBPA agree to implement an international draft, that event won’t take place until 2024, per Tim Healey of Newsday.
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Free agency news? Free agency news
Jon Heyman of MLB Network dropped this non-lockout update Wednesday morning about the Yankees’ interest in Carlos Correa, among others. All three players listed here are represented by Scott Boras, so maybe the superagent thinks free agency could re-open soon.
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Where things stand
A deal is not necessarily imminent, but the two sides currently appear closer to an agreement than at any other time in the process to date. Per multiple reports, an international draft — which MLB wants and players are debating — is the biggest remaining hurdle.
If there is a deal today, it appears players would report this weekend for spring training and a full, 162-game season could start on April 6.
MLB has moved on economic issues when it introduced an international draft in its proposal, so things could fall apart again if the players turn down the draft.
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