Good morning. Here’s what’s happening this morning:
Market moves: Bitcoin’s relief rally” appears to be temporary, after major central banks announced plans to battle high inflation
Technician’s take: Bitcoin could see a brief price bounce, although sellers remain in control.
Catch the latest episodes of CoinDesk TV for insightful interviews with crypto industry leaders and analysis.
Bitcoin (BTC): $47, 683 -2.3%
Ether (ETH): $3,981 -1.54%
Dow Jones Industrial Average: $35,896 -0.08%
“Bitcoin and [Big Tech] are getting punished today as investors reallocate some of their more profitable risky bets,” Edward Moya, senior market analyst of the Americas at OANDA, wrote in his newsletter. “The crypto space is seeing a lot of repositioning and that is leading to some unwanted selling pressure, but the medium- and -long-term outlooks remain firmly in place.”
Bitcoin’s spot trading volume across major centralized exchanges was also low on Thursday.
Alternative cryptocurrencies also fell. Ether dropped below $4,000 again and yesterday’s biggest winners including solana and avalanche were in the red too, at the time of publication.
Bitcoin (BTC) continues to hold support above $46,000, which is near its 200-day moving average. The cryptocurrency could see a brief price bounce toward $55,000 if buyers react to oversold signals on the charts.
Price momentum is starting to turn positive on the daily chart for the first time since October, which preceded a price recovery. This time, however, the uptrend is slowing on the weekly chart, which means upside could be limited beyond $55,000 to $60,000.
The relative strength index (RSI) on the daily chart is the most oversold since late September, although buying has been weak relative to prior RSI signals.
12 a.m. HGT/SGT (8 a.m. UTC): New Zealand business confidence (Dec.)
12 p.m. HGT/SGT (3 a.m. UTC): Bank of Japan policy statement
3 p.m. HGT/SGT (7 a.m. UTC): U.K. retail sales except fuel (Nov. YoY/MoM)
“First Mover” hosts spoke with Paul Lentz, senior vice president of Business Development at Accuweather about the company teaming up with Chainlink to apply weather data on the blockchain. WazirX co-founder and Chief Operating Officer Siddharth Menon shared crypto market analysis and discussed the state of India’s crypto regulation. Plus, CoinDesk Managing Editor for Global Policy and Regulation Nikhilesh De shed light on relevant regulatory news.
8 Trends That Will Shape Bitcoin Mining in 2022: CoinDesk’s first year-end survey of crypto miners reveals a competitive but mature business with the potential for merger activity to accelerate.
“Despite bitcoin’s recent 39% correction, the number of addresses with a non-zero balance continues to break all-time highs. Also, since the $69,000 all-time high, the Canadian Bitcoin Purpose ETF has added 6,341 BTC in assets under management, representing a 26.2% increase in coin holdings. This suggests institutional interest is prevalent at these prices and that whales are buying up bitcoin supply during this correction.“ (GlobalBlock analyst Marcus Sotiriou/CoinDesk) … “Remote work requires a set of tools for communication, information sharing and project management, but we are already seeing the dire consequences of these tools in regard to individual privacy and organizational security – which are overlapping sets.” (David Chaum, legendary cryptography, privacy advocate/CoinDesk) …“Their price can vary quite considerably and [bitcoins] could theoretically or practically drop to zero,” he told the BBC. (Bank of England Deputy Governor Sir Jon Cunliffe/The Guardian)
Damanick is a crypto market analyst at CoinDesk where he writes the daily Market Wrap and provides technical analysis. He is a Chartered Market Technician designation holder and member of the CMT Association. Damanick is also a portfolio manager at Cannon Advisors, which does not invest in digital assets. Damanick does not own cryptocurrencies.